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Ethanol 2020: A
Global Market Survey |

Summary &
Order Form
PDF 1.5Mb |
Market Survey, Trends Analysis, and Forecasts
Ethanol 2020
is a fact-filled, detailed management study, providing a
comprehensive analysis and review of major ethanol markets, leading
producers, feed stock price trends, import-export trends, government
targets, and opportunities for ethanol world-wide.
Around the
world, demands for ethanol fuel are growing rapidly. The U.S.
recently revised its national biofuels targets from 7 billion
gallons to 17 billion gallons by 2017, or approximately a 20%
replacement of transportation fuels in the next ten years.
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In China, India, Brazil and Europe, economic and environmental security
concerns are giving birth to new government targets and incentives,
aimed at reducing petroleum imports and increasing the consumption
and production of renewable fuels. Europe, Brazil, China and India
each aim to replace 5% to 20% of on-road gasoline consumption with
ethanol.
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click to enlarge |
Ethanol 2020
reviews biofuels initiatives
world-wide, including Bush’s new “20% biofuels by 2017”
re-vision of the U.S. Renewable Fuels Standard; the European
Union’s proposed “20 by 20” program to replace 20% of
transportation fuels with renewable fuels; and national biofuels
target goals and programs for Brazil, China, India, the U.S. and
Europe. These initiatives, accompanied by strong biofuels market
growth world-wide provide an excellent case for long-term
development in the biofuels sector.
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"The global
market for ethanol faces enormous opportunities and transitional
challenges over the next ten years. A few issues hold the key to
understanding the transitional nature of these challenges and
identifying the best prospects for long-term growth opportunities,"
says William Thurmond, author of Ethanol 2020. "If the
promises of competitive, large-scale cellulosic ethanol production
are realized, and if nationalist import/export policies for biofuels
are further liberalized, then the possibilities for ethanol to
replace 20% of gasoline consumption in the USA, China and India may
be realized by the year 2020."

click to enlarge |
Ethanol 2020:
A Global Market Survey
identifies
three market-based transitional generations of biofuels emerging in the next
ten years.
"The first market based generation, or 1G, is based on traditional domestic
production, economics and feedstocks - generally grown and sold
near geographically agricultural areas." says author William
Thurmond. |
The second
market-based generation, or 2G, is based on the emerging transition of ethanol
production facilities from traditional agricultural areas to new
areas in coastal regions in order to take advantage of import,
export, multi-feedstock and refinery co-location advantages.
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2G is
also characterized by the fast-changing globalization of ethanol
trade bringing competitive imported ethanol fuel to domestic
markets.
2G also addresses the food versus fuel debate, supported by
emerging trends in increased production and consumption of
non-corn and non-food fuel crops such as sorghum and switch
grass.
This is
also true for biodiesel, where non-food feedstocks such as algae and
jatropha produce significantly higher returns per acre, and do not
compromise food supplies or stimulate higher food prices. |
Ethanol 2020
observes the third market-based generational transition emerging
from technologies and production processes such as cellulosic ethanol, biobutanol, and dimethylfuran that promise higher fuel production
and investment returns per acre at lower costs.

click to enlarge |
These
second and third market-based generational trends are creating new
opportunities and concerns for investors. Over the next ten
years, investors in traditional ethanol facilities will face the
inevitable prospects of increased ethanol imports, non-food
crops for feedstocks, and the imminent maturation of cellulosic
ethanol as a competitive ethanol fuel. |
The upside to 2G and 3G market transitions
is they provide answers and solutions to current problems with
rising feedstock costs, energy infrastructure integration issues,
the food vs. fuel debate, and eventual price relief for consumers at
the pump. During these transitions, new opportunities will emerge
for ethanol investors, and new technological processes will improve
the present production facilities of today and help alleviate
concerns of ROI and stranded costs.
“As these transitions occur, we expect to see an increasing amount
of cognitive dissonance and political debate between established
ethanol producers, the emerging 2G/3G investors and stakeholders,
policy officials and analysts” says Mr. Thurmond “Moreover, these
transitional trends and technologies are likely to be critical to
the success of government biofuels programs world-wide with
ambitious ethanol production targets. Although growing pains will
occur, the emergence of 2G and 3G ethanol will help overcome many of
the present limitations of agricultural, commercial and
technological ethanol production.”
How will the transitional
emergence and coexistence of 1G, 2G and 3G ethanol markets affect your
organization? Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey tracks
these key trends, provides useful data and statistics for business
planning purposes, identifies leading companies, and includes
forecasts and scenarios for ethanol production and consumption to
the year 2020. Brazil, China, India and Europe are also covered as
case studies.
Ethanol 2020
is an essential guide for ethanol producers, investors, developers,
analysts, NGOs and public policy officials.
For more information and a prospectus on Ethanol 2020: A Global
Market Survey, go to
http://www.emerging-markets.com/ethanol/press.htm
Contact:
Emerging Markets Online, Houston
William Thurmond, +1-713-429-4905
Author, Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey
Director, Management Consulting Services
info@emerging-markets.com.
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Order Ethanol 2020: A
Global Market Survey |
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Summary &
Order Form
PDF 1.5Mb
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Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey
will be available in Spring, 2008
To pre-order this study
- download a
prospectus and order form
in pdf
- email
info(at)emerging-markets.com
- call telephone
at +1 713 429 4905 (Houston, TX).
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About
Emerging Markets Online:
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Emerging
Markets Online (EMO)
is a global energy and utilities market research service. EMO
provides market research studies, management reports, expert
industry databases, and research and advisory services.
EMO has been the recipient of Forbes Magazine’s prestigious
“Best of The Web” award four times consecutively.
For more information, or to receive a price list for EMO
products and services, visit http://www.emerging-markets.com
or call +1 713 429 4905 (Houston, TX)
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