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 Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey


Summary & Order Form
PDF 1.5Mb

Market Survey, Trends Analysis, and Forecasts

Ethanol 2020 is a fact-filled, detailed management study, providing a comprehensive analysis and review of major ethanol markets, leading producers, feed stock price trends, import-export trends, government targets, and opportunities for ethanol world-wide.

Around the world, demands for ethanol fuel are growing rapidly. The U.S. recently revised its national biofuels targets from 7 billion gallons to 17 billion gallons by 2017, or approximately a 20% replacement of transportation fuels in the next ten years.

 
   
In China, India, Brazil and Europe, economic and environmental security concerns are giving birth to new government targets and incentives, aimed at reducing petroleum imports and increasing the consumption and production of renewable fuels. Europe, Brazil, China and India each aim to replace 5% to 20% of on-road gasoline consumption with ethanol.
 

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Ethanol 2020 reviews biofuels initiatives world-wide, including Bush’s new “20% biofuels by 2017” re-vision of the U.S. Renewable Fuels Standard; the European Union’s proposed “20 by 20” program to replace 20% of transportation fuels with renewable fuels; and national biofuels target goals and programs for Brazil, China, India, the U.S. and Europe. These initiatives, accompanied by strong biofuels market growth world-wide provide an excellent case for long-term development in the biofuels sector.  

"The global market for ethanol faces enormous opportunities and transitional challenges over the next ten years. A few issues hold the key to understanding the transitional nature of these challenges and identifying the best prospects for long-term growth opportunities," says William Thurmond, author of Ethanol 2020. "If the promises of competitive, large-scale cellulosic ethanol production are realized, and if nationalist import/export policies for biofuels are further liberalized, then the possibilities for ethanol to replace 20% of gasoline consumption in the USA, China and India may be realized by the year 2020."


 
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Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey identifies three market-based transitional generations of biofuels emerging in the next ten years.

"The first market based generation, or 1G, is based on traditional domestic production, economics and feedstocks - generally grown and sold near geographically agricultural areas." says author William Thurmond.

The second market-based generation, or 2G, is based on the emerging transition of ethanol production facilities from traditional agricultural areas to new areas in coastal regions in order to take advantage of import, export, multi-feedstock and refinery co-location advantages.

2G is also characterized by the fast-changing globalization of ethanol trade bringing competitive imported ethanol fuel to domestic markets.

2G also addresses the food versus fuel debate, supported by emerging trends in increased production and consumption of non-corn and non-food fuel crops such as sorghum and switch grass. 

This is also true for biodiesel, where non-food feedstocks such as algae and jatropha produce significantly higher returns per acre, and do not compromise food supplies or stimulate higher food prices.

Ethanol 2020 observes the third market-based generational transition emerging from technologies and production processes such as cellulosic ethanol, biobutanol, and dimethylfuran that promise higher fuel production and investment returns per acre at lower costs.


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These second and third market-based generational trends are creating new opportunities and concerns for investors. Over the next ten years, investors in traditional ethanol facilities will face the inevitable prospects of increased ethanol imports, non-food crops for feedstocks, and the imminent maturation of cellulosic ethanol as a competitive ethanol fuel.

The upside to 2G and 3G market transitions is they provide answers and solutions to current problems with rising feedstock costs, energy infrastructure integration issues, the food vs. fuel debate, and eventual price relief for consumers at the pump. During these transitions, new opportunities will emerge for ethanol investors, and new technological processes will improve the present production facilities of today and help alleviate concerns of ROI and stranded costs. 

“As these transitions occur, we expect to see an increasing amount of cognitive dissonance and political debate between established ethanol producers, the emerging 2G/3G investors and stakeholders, policy officials and analysts” says Mr. Thurmond “Moreover, these transitional trends and technologies are likely to be critical to the success of government biofuels programs world-wide with ambitious ethanol production targets. Although growing pains will occur, the emergence of 2G and 3G ethanol will help overcome many of the present limitations of agricultural, commercial and technological ethanol production.”

How will the transitional emergence and coexistence of 1G, 2G and 3G ethanol markets affect your organization? Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey tracks these key trends, provides useful data and statistics for business planning purposes, identifies leading companies, and includes forecasts and scenarios for ethanol production and consumption to the year 2020. Brazil, China, India and Europe are also covered as case studies.

Ethanol 2020 is an essential guide for ethanol producers, investors, developers, analysts, NGOs and public policy officials.

For more information and a prospectus on Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey,  go to http://www.emerging-markets.com/ethanol/press.htm


Contact:
Emerging Markets Online, Houston
William Thurmond, +1-713-429-4905
Author, Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey
Director, Management Consulting Services
info@emerging-markets.com.


 

 Order Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey
   

Summary & Order Form
PDF 1.5Mb

Ethanol 2020: A Global Market Survey
will be available in Spring, 2008

To pre-order this study

 
  • download a prospectus and order form in pdf
     
  • email info(at)emerging-markets.com
     
  • call telephone at +1 713 429 4905 (Houston, TX).

 



 

About Emerging Markets Online:

Emerging Markets Online (EMO) is a global energy and utilities market research service. EMO provides market research studies, management reports, expert industry databases, and research and advisory services.  EMO has been the recipient of Forbes Magazine’s prestigious “Best of The Web” award four times consecutively. 

For more information, or to receive a price list for EMO products and services, visit
http://www.emerging-markets.com or call +1 713 429 4905 (Houston, TX)

 

 

 

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